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Real-time BTC and ETH prediction market data from Kalshi and Polymarket, enriched with Binance spot/futures reference prices on every message. Events are auto-discovered and matched cross-venue — new timeframes appear continuously and resolve automatically.

Assets

Event types

Hourly above/below (cross-venue matched)

Threshold strike markets: “Will BTC be above $68,500 at 3PM ET?” Both Kalshi and Polymarket run these, and Oddpool matches them by datetime so you get cross-venue probabilities on a single channel.
Each hourly event has many outcomes (one per strike price). Kalshi typically has ~188 strikes, Polymarket ~10. All are available as separate outcomes on the same event.

15-minute up/down (cross-venue matched)

Binary “will the price go up or down in this 15-minute window?” Available on both Kalshi and Polymarket, matched by start time.

5-minute up/down (Polymarket only)

Same as 15-minute but with 5-minute resolution. Only available on Polymarket.

Hourly up/down (Polymarket only)

Binary up/down for the full hour. Only available on Polymarket.

Binance reference data

Every crypto dist, book, and trade message includes a reference field with real-time Binance spot and futures data. This gives your trading agent an immediate reference price without needing a separate data feed.
The reference field is only present on crypto events. Macro events (FOMC, CPI, etc.) do not include it.

Example: distribution message

Example: cross-venue matched hourly

Hourly above/below events that exist on both venues show cross-venue probabilities:

Event lifecycle

Crypto events are auto-discovered from both venues. New events appear continuously — a new 5-minute window every 5 minutes, a new 15-minute window every 15 minutes, a new hourly window every hour. Use ?feed=crypto&status=active in the catalog endpoint to get only live events.

Use cases

BTC 5-minute Polymarket trading bot. The 5min BTC up/down markets on Polymarket update every 2-10ms at the distribution level. Combined with sub-10ms Binance spot price staleness, you get a fused view of BTC spot price + market-implied probability at near-real-time latency — everything a trading bot needs to place and adjust orders within each 5-minute window. Build mean-reversion or momentum signals on the probability-vs-spot relationship. BTC and ETH 15-minute Kalshi + Polymarket arbitrage bot. The 15min up/down events exist on both Kalshi and Polymarket, cross-venue matched by time window. Each message includes venue_id with exact execution identifiers for both venues. When kalshi_prob and poly_prob diverge on the same 15-minute BTC or ETH outcome, an arbitrage bot can immediately act on the spread. The reference field provides the Binance spot price to validate whether the divergence is justified by price movement. Strike distance signals. Compare spot_mid from the Binance reference with the prediction market’s strike price to compute real-time distance-to-strike. A Kalshi “BTC above 68,500"marketat5868,500" market at 58% probability with spot at 68,490 means the market prices a 58% chance of a $10 move — your model may disagree. Basis trading. The futures_mark vs spot_mid spread (basis) indicates market sentiment. Widening contango during a prediction market probability spike suggests leveraged longs are driving the move. Combine with funding_rate to gauge crowding — useful context for any Kalshi or Polymarket crypto trading bot. Volatility regime detection. Monitor volume_24h alongside prediction market depth (kalshi_depth_usd, poly_depth_usd). Low prediction market depth during high BTC or ETH spot volume signals uncertainty — wider spreads and more opportunity for a trading bot. High depth during low volume signals consensus. Multi-asset correlation. BTC and ETH feeds run simultaneously with independent Binance enrichment. Track how ETH Polymarket probabilities respond to BTC spot moves (or vice versa) on both Kalshi and Polymarket to identify cross-asset momentum or hedging opportunities across 5min, 15min, and hourly timeframes.

Quick start